Baltimore G&E: AMI Comeback?

Phil Carson | Jul 19, 2010

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As you may know, the Maryland Public Service Commission's denial of Baltimore Gas and Electric Co.'s smart meter proposal a month ago caused a stir. (See item 59 in the preceding link.) Til then, objections largely had come from pockets of consumers receiving smart meters, not from state commissions considering rate cases.

BGE, an investor-owned utility, is back with a refurbished proposal, set for an Aug. 5 hearing before the Maryland PSC. And because the proposal raises fundamental questions about smart meter programs, it's worthy of review.

In April, upon winning a $200 million stimulus grant, the utility said it would support a "comprehensive smart grid initiative" to install new electric and gas meters across its service territory of 1.2 electricity customers and 640,000 natural gas customers. The advanced metering infrastructure (AMI) would save its customers $2.6 billion over the life of the project, according to the utility. The utility sought to recover $835 million in costs by applying a surcharge to its customers' bills.

After all, BGE said, "26 utilities in 15 states have installed more than 16 million smart meters, a number projected to double by the end of next year ... these meters have performed at or above expectations and can be upgraded or adapted to newer technologies as they are introduced."

On June 21, the Maryland PSC said, basically, "not so fast." The commission questioned the utility's business case, rejected its proposed surcharge for cost recovery and turned down mandatory dynamic pricing.

"We find the business case for this proposal untenable," the PSC's denial said. "The proposal asks BGE's ratepayers to take significant financial and technological risks and adapt to categorical changes in rate design, all in exchange for savings that are largely indirect, highly contingent and a long way off. We are not persuaded that this bargain is cost-effective or serves the public interest."

According to the commission, the smart meter implementation would not enhance the utility's transmission and distribution systems, nor would the smart meters communicate with in-home devices without further, substantial expenses. To deal with mandatory time-of-use rates, BGE customers would need education and in-home displays.

The utility's proposed "tracker surcharge" would inappropriately place all financial risk on BGE customers, said the commission, which wrote: "We decline here to depart from the core principle that utilities recover the cost of infrastructure investments through distribution rates."

Finally, the PSC said, the business case was flawed, as it did not account for $100 million in stranded assets (existing meters), $60 million for a new billing system and another $100 million for in-home displays.

"We certainly acknowledge that Maryland can be described as a hostile regulatory environment," wrote Macquarie Research the next day, in a note to investors.

"Hallelujah!" wrote John Anderson, president and CEO of the Electricity Consumers Resource Council. (Read our interview with ELCON's Anderson.)

Three weeks later, BGE submitted a revamped proposal, "to address some misunderstandings about our proposal, respond to the PSC's concerns, strengthen an already robust plan and ... retain a coveted $200 million grant." BGE suggested a "hybrid approach" to its tracker surcharge to provide PSC oversight (a tracker surcharge would cover 25 percent of the cost, with the balance covered by rate increases over time). TOU pricing would be optional. And the utility would bolt on "a comprehensive, customer-focused education and outreach plan." BGE suggested that without a favorable decision by July 30, the $200 million federal grant would vanish.

First, it's not clear that the grant will vanish on July 30. Moreover, the new proposal did not initially strike the Maryland Office of People's Counsel - the state consumer watchdog - as substantively different from the original, according to People's Counsel Paula Carmody.

"The commission got it right," said Carmody. "It needs to determine the real costs, benefits and impacts of the proposal, then it can take a look at the federal grant and its value."

"One of the messages for other states is to move beyond the concept and vision and focus on a local level on these proposals and their costs and benefits," Carmody added. "This is the type of evaluation that should be done for expensive investments in technology changes."

Carmody suggested that BGE could wring equivalent efficiencies from upgrades to its T&D system without targeting consumer behavioral changes, based on the varying impacts smart meters and TOU pricing could have on a heterogeneous population.

"One size doesn't fit all," Carmody said. "Flexibility is the key."

As for BGE's education plan, Carmody asked, rhetorically, "What are we asking of consumers? What's the end game?"

Should an education plan address the basics of how electricity is generated, transmitted and distributed? Should it discuss the disproportionately high cost of producing and delivering peak capacity? What actions are consumers expected to take in light of such information?

Readers! What are the issues? Who has it right, BGE or the PSC?

Phil Carson
Editor-in-chief
Intelligent Utility Daily
pcarson@energycentral.com
303-228-4757

Comments

3 SG Predictions 4 Initiating the Global Electric Transformation

Hi Phil,
 
Partly in response to your important and urgent questions, I have written the EWPC article Three Smart Grid Predictions for Initiating the Global Power Industry Transformation. To make the predictions for the transformation, I have also borrowed some insights from a comprehensive Edison Electric Institute whitepaper written by Jesse Berst. The summary answers in a more generalized way your specific question “predict how the Aug. 5 hearing and subsequent decision will go? :
 
Prediction #1: Recognizing the emerging global power industry in the complete context around the Intelligent Utility Inside article Baltimore G&E: AMI Comeback? and that of this EWPC article, the Maryland PSC “No so fast” decision on the BGE proposal is highly likely the 1st domino of the chain reaction that is going to start “knocking over the next” state regulator’s utility case, “which upsets the next one, and so on.”
 
Prediction #2: Rethinking the old utility compact with an obligation to serve to an emergent compact on the T&D Grid side of the EWPC-AF with an obligation to deliver, the end-to-end “smart grid” will play out as part of the Enterprise side of the EWPC-AF.  
 
Prediction #3: Repositioning the utilities that missed the opportunities to learn the lessons of other industries is bound to be in a restricted T&D Grid space that will sooner or later be "painfully consolidated."

Best regards,

José Antonio Vanderhorst-Silverio, Ph.D. - LinkedIn

Thanks for the comments

Well, the BGE case at the Maryland PSC sure drew some reaction across the country, and here on the Intelligent Utility Daily website.

Anyone care to predict how the Aug. 5 hearing and subsequent decision will go? And why?

Regards, Phil Carson

Let's Initiate the SG Transformation While T&D Jobs Comeback

Dear Phil,
 
You have written a very insightful and attractive article. I like very much your “No So Fast!”
 
People's Counsel Paula Carmody made a great synthesis by suggesting that (1) "One of the messages for other states is to move beyond the concept and vision and focus on a local level on these proposals and their costs and benefits… This is the type of evaluation that should be done for expensive investments in technology changes" and (2) “… BGE could wring equivalent efficiencies from upgrades to its T&D system without targeting consumer behavioral changes, based on the varying impacts smart meters and TOU pricing could have on a heterogeneous population… One size doesn't fit all… Flexibility is the key."
 
Well in line with my comment Cost/Benefit Analysis Versus An Emergent Transformation, posted under the interview with ELCON’s Anderson, there are several underlying assumptions in that synthesis. The case is about the whole power industry that is emerging. For example, the impact of the case goes beyond Maryland and into other states. As existing regulations were designed for a homogeneous population, governments all over the place need to enact regulations for a heterogeneous population striking a better balance between markets and regulation. While retail competitive markets with full customer choice (to reject a smart meter for example) should be considered for the heterogeneous population, regulations for upgrades to the T&D system that does not target the population might still be done with the old regulations.  
 
The comments so far in BG&E and the selling of AMI and The PSC Has It Right beg the shift from monopoly regulation to competitive markets for the heterogeneous population. The comment on Sanity Prevails adds to the mentioned shift the support to innovations on the emerging power industry, while being opposed to easy come, easy go, stimulus funds.  
 
Relating to the magnitude of those funds, an inquiry should be made of the process about how DOE suggested easy come grant that were limited to $20 million were raised to $200 million. For reference, check the EWPC post Smart Grid: Can the U.S Waste Billions in Taxpayer Dollars?
 
For all of the above reasons, I suggest that DOE should shift the stimulus funds to BGE’s T&D construction investments. I think BGE should try to get DOE consent for filing construction projects to the Maryland PSC to meet the July 30 deadline. Those projects may generate many jobs and serve to stimulate the economy. Other states all over the world should follow the suggested shift. 
 
Best regards,

José Antonio Vanderhorst-Silverio, Ph.D. - LinkedIn

Sanity Prevails

At last, sanity.

So do we drop the Smart Grid/Smart Meter dream off a cliff? I have two answers. On the one hand, I'd like to see the egregious misuse of public and ratepayer funds stopped by edict today. On the other hand, we should find a way (absent politics and religion) to promote economically sound technological advances.

In my view, the bar-of-standard is being corrupted by "free money" (stimulus funds). By falsely lowering the standard (economic hurdle rate), innovation is actually blunted. It's a little like dumbing-down schools: before you know it, you've got a generation of college graduates that are functionally illiterate.

Energy efficiency is good. Conservation is good. Launching do-good initiatives without economic justification is priceless...to those that just pass the bill along to someone else.

The PSC Has It Right

deleted - double post

 

 

The PSC Has It Right

If BG&E is comfortable with its $2.6 billion savings estimate it should recover its $835 million in costs from the first of those saving.  Then, when the costs have been recovered, it can begin sharing the remaining savings with its customers through reduced - not increased - rates.

Even if the savings estimate is grossly in error, and the savings are only double the cost, not triple, BG&E and the customers will both still come out ahead.

Somehow BG&E's proposal reminds me of those schemes where people pay in advance for a 'starter kit' of supplies to work at home, only to find that the 'work' never materializes or never pays off.

 

BG&E and the selling of AMI

I'm sure Amazon would love to ship a Kindle off to several million customers and simply invoice them for the purchase price, which probably is far under its development costs. After all, isn't that exactly what BG&E is proposing with its Smart meters. At least with the e-reader product I can appreciate its value and I have a good idea how I would use it to my benefit. Try this thought experiment: What if BG&E had to sell the Smart Meter, say, at $149.95. How many customers would buy one today? Right, not many. So maybe the regulators are correct and until BG&E demonstrates that there is a market for their meters, until the customers start queing up similar to the I-phone phenomenon, perhaps they ought to bear the risk of consumer apathy.