Electric Vehicles: The Big Mo?
The promise of electric vehicles (EVs) is multi-faceted and news concerning them is relentless. Whether those far-reaching promises and all the commotion really translate into momentum for adoption remains to be seen.
EVs' great promise is to, among other things, deliver improved national security via energy independence, potentially lower transportation costs for businesses and individuals and release less-harmful levels of emissions.
Recently, one analyst stated that society would one day look back on 2010 as a historical landmark, when EVs became commercially available in numbers. But will the adoption curve look like a hockey stick or a cross-cut saw blade?
EVs also provide a platform both for clean technology advocates and naysayers to make points in larger debates, often involving the economy, the environment and public policy. Little surprise, then, that we've covered a number of EV angles in past months, from recent legislative efforts to smart charging innovations, from vehicle-to-grid (V2G) applications to EVs' impacts on the grid.
Today I have no great thesis to foist upon you, but I'd like to pass along the latest insights from an EV-centric webcast yesterday.
What are utility concerns about the advent of EV adoption, in whatever numbers?
In an Electric Drive Transportation Association (EDTA) webcast yesterday, Doug Kim, director of plug-in-electric-vehicle programs at Southern California Edison (SCE), named several concerns.
Kim said that internally, his utility is reviewing the robustness of local distribution system elements for the expected draw by EVs. EV loads can be multiples of typical household loads and the density of EV adoption within a distribution network could overwhelm the "last mile."
"A simple, efficient charging process for consumers is important," Kim said. "And customer education is critical."
Kim availed himself of the opportunity to repeat SCE's mantras to EV buyers: contact SCE before you bring home your newly purchased EV and please charge it during off-peak hours. The utility hopes to match EV loads with renewable supplies, such as wind, which tend to be strongest at night.
To reach those who need to hear these messages, Kim said SCE will use mailings, a phone center and social media to drive traffic to its website, where a quantity and breadth of information will be available, including dynamic pricing rates. That's here.
The utility has posted information on its "standard residential rate," "whole house time-of-use rate" and "EV-only time-of-use rate," with explanations on implications. For instance, the "EV-only" rate requires a separate meter and up-front costs, but the electricity may cost only one-third of peak rates. The site makes for good reading if you want to get your arms around early adoption scenarios on the utility side.
"We want to be sure we do our part to support this market," Kim said, noting that as much as 25 percent of all EVs are purchased in California, SCE's home turf.
Mark Duvall, director of electric transportation at the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI), shed further light on the challenges utilities face and on expected patterns of use, as revealed by EPRI research.
First, Duvall noted that EPRI has worked on electric transportation in various forms for decades. One thing that's clear, he said, is that 3,000 utilities in the United States and a handful of vehicle manufacturers "speak different languages." Duvall sees EPRI as fostering collaboration between the EV industry and utilities.
Readiness for EV adoption probably will require placing a priority on residential charging stations, Duvall said, because research reveals that individual vehicles spend two-thirds their time parked at home. This should be simple for single-family dwellings but far less simple for multi-family dwellings and apartments. (Duvall added that cars spend 80 percent of their time parked at home or work, 15 percent in public parking and 5 percent on the road.)
Employers may play a role in workplace charging, he said, where morning til noon charging could avoid peak rates. Private sector investment in public charging stations may be the most difficult challenge, as the infrastructure is expensive and the business case uncertain. One possibility: dedicated parking for a business might provide free charging for bona fide shoppers.
"There's controversy over how much [public infrastructure] is enough," Duvall said.
As for the environmental benefits, Duvall noted that although half the nation's electricity is generated by burning coal, power sources are quite diverse and that, in any case, EVs provide "significant carbon savings" and make "significant but modest" contributions to air quality.
Asked about the pros and cons of legislation introduced last week for consideration by both Senate and House, webcast panelists - including Brian Wynne, president of EDTA, and Mike Rowand, director of advanced customer technology at Duke Power - all concurred that policies ought to encourage widespread adoption of EVs. The bills introduced last week continue an earlier policy of focusing efforts on targeted communities to achieve a critical mass of adoption.
One question not asked, which has provided fodder for proponents and naysayers alike: should the federal government, or local governments for that matter, play a role in encouraging adoption?
I'll have more to say on that point as well as bringing readers' comments to the fore on these issues.
Phil Carson
Editor-in-chief
Intelligent Utility Daily
pcarson@energycentral.com
303-228-4757







Comments
What EV and PHEVs run on
EV and PHEVs run on 57@ coal, 17& natural gas, 20% nuclear and 6% hydro.
For each 1kWh hour consumed by electric vehicles more than twice 3412.14163 BTUs, in practice, goes in using convential thermal power fuels.
PNM stated on a foil that Heat Rate does not apply to solar and wind generation of lectricity. Perhaps. We are investigating.
CNG Option
CNG seems to offer a good, clean, available, affordable option. Moreover, I believe home fueling technology is also affordable and less taxes the grid, last mile and all. Best news is that the upcharge for the vehicle and home station will be offset by the 40%-60% lower price of NatGas. Win-win. Now if car manufacturers will only offer a tailgate BBQ as an option.
Social Benefits
Government should play a role because electric vehicles will reduce carbon and particulate emissions which will reduce the costs associated with health and environmental issues. This reasoning stems from the higher external or indirect costs associated with burning gasoline in cars versus producing electricity at a more efficient power plant.
Gasoline prices do not include the indirect costs associated with carbon and particulate emissions. In part because these costs are difficult to quantify, but we do know there are costs associated with environmental and health related issues.
Since most estimates suggest the EV's will produce only about 50% of the carbon and about 25% of the particulates, their are social benefits at stake. Consequently, it makes economic sense to either tax gasoline more or subsidize EV adoption because this will ultimately reduce the corresponding environmental and health costs associated with carbon and particulate emissions. We all know we aren't going to raise gasoline taxes.
rubbervines.com
Social Benefits
Government should play a role because electric vehicles will reduce carbon and particulate emissions which will reduce the costs associated with health and environmental issues. This reasoning stems from the higher external or indirect costs associated with burning gasoline in cars versus producing electricity at a more efficient power plant.
Gasoline prices do not include the indirect costs associated with carbon and particulate emissions. In part because these costs are difficult to quantify, but we do know there are costs associated with environmental and health related issues.
Since most estimates suggest the EV's will produce only about 50% of the carbon and about 25% of the particulates, their are social benefits at stake. Consequently, it makes economic sense to either tax gasoline more or subsidize EV adoption because this will ultimately reduce the corresponding environmental and health costs associated with carbon and particulate emissions. We all know we aren't going to raise gasoline taxes.
rubbervines.com
one irratating fact...
"The Department of Energy forecasts that renewable energy will supply 13% of American energy needs by 2030. Oil will continue to account for 34% of the total energy demand, including 87% of our transportation needs."
this seems to counter any claim that our current grid could ever be able to take the additional load of EVs... we will still be under 15% penetration with solar, wind, biomass et al twenty years from now? How the heck will you be able to take on all this new fossil-fuel energy sucking EVs so touchy/feely folks can drive 'guilt free'?
For more information and the facts about energy visit: www.tnenergyforum.com
This forum has been talking about how vital a 'Smart Grid' is to help releive the capacity squeeze utilities are facing... getting people to cut back, change their habits all in the name of conservation and 'responsible' energy usage...
Now, we hear EVs will get a big discount rate... how can this be? When TOU will most likely drive prices up for many consumers...
This is the muddled thinking of academics who 'feel' their way to the 'end results' based on their 'good intentions'
just Embrace the Suck: it sucks to be you and the fact you believe oil, gas, coal, etc is 'making us sick' (Harry Reid) and is dirty, nasty etc... but embrace the suck.. Fossil fuel is here to stay... nothing on the market in the form of alternative energy is even close to replacing fossil fuels and those who use it are paying a huge premium...
Until the problem is approached with a level of thinking a quantum leap above the problem we are just nitpicking around the edges...
EVs
Dear Phil,
Utilities are rightly concerned about loads if EV uptake is even marginal. Why don't intelligent utilities partner with rental car companies and offer a "fleet approach" to EVs? Utilities own lots of property that could be used as pick-up/drop-off points for EVs. Rental car companies know how to do this business -- they just need to expand their business models to off-airport locations, and perhaps consider leasing options for consumers who want to drive the same make/model or even same car. The coal problem won't go away over night; perhaps a significant amount of EVs will even increase use of this fossil fuel to meet need demand. Hopefully, over time, DR and greener more distributed generation will mitigate coal's % of generation. Thoughts?
Michael Ebert