Readers Respond to 'Changing Consumer Behavior'
When it comes to that sometimes elusive and always fascinating animal - the consumer - a lot of folks are paying close attention.
Whether it's the consumer's role in adopting technology and modifying behavior inside the home (or not) or their grasp of smart grid issues as it relates to taxes and electricity rates, the consumer remains critically important to smart grid discussions in many minds.
That includes the minds of our readers, who wrote in with thoughtful responses to this past Wednesday's column titled, "Changing Consumer Behavior: Nothing New Under the Sun."
Some of the best responses came via backchannel to me, so I share them here, while protecting the privacy of those who did not post publicly. (I cleared this with the writers first.)
The column was based on consultant Christine Hertzog's participation on a panel at the Peak Load Management Association's spring conference on April 30. Hertzog suggested that other industries have already implemented retail communications strategies that electric utilities could borrow. She acknowledged, however, that most other industries have not had to change consumer attitudes and behavior to the degree that electric utilities must as they implement smarter grids.
One reader suggested that utility use of consumer usage data "will become a valuable revenue stream." As the sale of electricity once represented the bulk of utility revenue, so in the future consumer data-inspired additional services will become utilities' new revenue source as conservation-minded consumers use less electricity, in this reader's view.
Electric utilities will be spurred to engage consumers in earnest, this writer added, "when competitive processes are introduced by others like Google, Microsoft, Sun and even GE or other appliance manufacturers who create the computer application or little black box that can sit on your counter to be read or to alarm when usage patterns are not beneficial."
"Google, Microsoft and others are already close to offering systems that provide appliance-level granularity systems for consumers. Hopefully their introduction and acceptance by consumers will be a motivating factor that will move the electric utility industry" become more consumer savvy, this reader concluded.
Another reader warned, however, that utility access to data beyond the aggregate total measured by smart meters, for instance, would bring backlash. Granular, applicance-level data will spark outrage over privacy issues, this reader said.
"First, utilities should not depend on receiving appliance-level data from consumers. Simply acknowledging that smart meters have the ability to collect this information has already set off a firestorm of protests, most notably from privacy advocates who point out the dangers if this information is not handled with the utmost care," our second commenter wrote. "The cost of gathering and protecting that data is probably not worth the benefit other than in limited amounts for research purposes."
"Second, I think automation is more important than some sort of in-home display," this reader wrote. "Consumers need to be able to 'set and forget' major energy-consuming appliances."
"Third, I challenge any assertion that utilities will be worse off if consumers turn to third parties for help managing their energy bills," this reader concluded. "Has any utility conducted an objective analysis to determine how their earnings and growth prospects would be impacted if consumers employ third parties to provide commodity and energy management advice? Your readers should be skeptical of any claim (to this effect) until proved otherwise."
A third reader reacted with total skepticism that any value arises from consumers' energy management efforts. Estimating that an average monthly electricity bill might be $100 and active management could reduce that by 10 percent, this reader figured a $10 monthly savings, a negligible gain in a typical monthly household income of $2,500.
"Is the average person really going to limit peak use after work, analyze a complicated bill, and mess around with fancy metering when the payoff is $10 a month? Knowing they are paying an extra 30 cents a day for that luxury isn't going to bother many," he concluded.
We welcome this latter writer to our fold - and I wonder who among you would like to tackle that notion? I have a feeling that readers who do respond may cite the expected advent of critical peak pricing, which would increase the gain from managing home electricity use and the "set it and forget it" mantra mentioned above, which eliminates most effort from the process.
But you, dear reader, should feel free to say "yea" or "nay" to the contents of this column - just be sure to mention why you think as you do.
Phil Carson
Editor-in-chief
Intelligent Utility Daily
pcarson@energycentral.com
303-228-4757







Comments
New Mexico Energy Star homes and solar generation of electricity
DR Horton, Heritage, and Comtex in Albuquerque/Rio Rancho/Los Lunas are pushing Energy Star construction technologies.
New home sizes are now below 2,000 square feet.
You may find mp3 recordings of new construction sales people on energy efficiency valuable.
http://home.comcast.net/~bpayne37/solar/loslunassolar/loslunassolar.htm
New Mexico is striving to become the solar capitol of the US.
We are a bit suspicious that large-scale solar generation of electricity works.
BTU primer is important because it relates heat to production of electricity to see PNM electric load forcaster Steve Martin's foil on the causes of electric load increased demand.
Not enough consumer benefit for the risk?
I think the calculus that says consumers might save $10 on a $100 electric bill is the key. While we're all guessing at eventual consumer adoption, it's hard to see how consumers will get too excited about minimal savings, especially if they have to upgrade appliances and thermostates, or purchase IHDs or additional monitoring modules to plug appliances into. This is the fundamental problem -- DR makes sense for the utilities when aggregated across consumers, but doesn't make much sense for individual consumers.
Add to this that consumers could get much of the savings without a smart meter -- simply by programming their thermostats. But surveys supposedly show that 70% (oft-cited number, but has anyone seen data to verifty this stat?) of consumers with programmable thermostats haven't programmed them (maybe what we really need is a better programmable thermostat that is easier to use). On the C&I side, here again customer can get most of the savings without a smart meter by installing smart building systems. If the biggest benefit is AC cycling, there are cheaper ways to do this that have been around for years and are much cheaper than installing AMI.
Having TOU pricing should in theory help drive consumers to adopt DR and/or shift usage to off-peak, but it's not clear that consumers will be willing to bear the risk of a higher electric bill that comes with TOU pricing for the benefit of saving a few dollars. I suspect that we'll get to a point where if TOU is implemented, consumer reaction will drive the PUCs to stipulate that bills can't be higher than they would be without TOU -- in other words, give consumers the potential savings without the risk. That negates the whole point of TOU.
The applications that will finally necessitate the adoption of smart meters are probably EV and DER integration. At this point, a smart meter is probably legitimately required. But we're a ways from those devices being widely deployed.
What Happens if....
conservation is wildly successful? It seems utilities want it all...reduced demand exposure (and the benefits thereof), a nice green image, a sophisticated data collection infrastructure AND continuing solid revenues. Could it be I'm one of only a few that has noticed the conflicting objectives? Bet not.
I see Smart Metering as a means of deploying TOU rates. Pardon my usual bluntness but everything else appears to me as "plausible deniability"...a load of spin concocted to gather green enthusiasm and consumer buy-in. Therefore my conclusion: it's all about getting TOU rates. Unless I miss my guess (educated), TOU rates are the only thing that will permit utilities the revenue gains they need to offset (and then some) conservation "losses".
Here's what I see. In the beginning, post SM and pre-TOU, consumers may see net savings if they're willing to do the work. Later, post-TOU, conservation savings will be offset by the higher net prices...perhaps a wash but consumers will notice. Upon this realization, consumers will respond to the price coercion. Backlash follows. Nobody is going to be happy about paying the same value X (probably more) while suffering the lifestyle indignity likely brought by TOU rates.
Interestingly, what could occur is this: lower peak demand, higher kWh usage and higher bills. Call it a PERFECT WORLD for utilities. Meanwhile, consumers are trapped. That will bring on home-solar and perhaps volunteers for demand response....not out of enviro-sensitivity but out of self-preservation.
The real question is how manufacturers will respond. Will demand peaks just shift to a different hour? Will they stand still for paying insanely high rates across summer afternoons? Will they instead be exempted or even subsidized?
All I see are consequences of the bad sort....and for what...exactly what? If I could get a coherent answer to that question (and by coherent I mean something quantifiable and quantifiable), I might just hop on the bandwagon. Good luck on that....I have a handle on the numbers. You don't "do" sustainability on the back of unsustainable economics.
You are correct, Sir
Thisi is just a big ruse to extract more money out of the consumer... reading about how "Utilities and environmental groups are coming together to help modernize the transmission system. It's an arduous job that requires conciliation and patience."
this tells me all I need to know... it is a fact:
Solar cost more than existing power gen methods
Fact:
Wind costs more than current power gen methods...
You can't mandate on one hand the higher and higher percentage of 'green power' and decrease the rates - it is not possible...
TVA "let's" you spend an extra $4 per month in order to get some of those green electrons sent to your home.... Hahahahaha what a joke...
Yeah, you tree huggers go ahead and step up... go ahead and buy up the new expensive green power... and let me keep buying my inexpensive power....
the only thing that's driving costs higher is all the stupid spending put into a technology that is higher cost, over 15 year ROI and not proven to start with...
this is just a means to more access of your pocket book...